2016 Hunan new cotton price forecast: planting area reduced late new cotton prices bullish

Release time:

2020-05-27

1. area decreases and prices recover 1. The planting area continues to decrease. This year, the cotton area in Anxiang County has decreased significantly compared with the previous year, only about 1/3 in its heyday. According to the China Cotton Association's survey of the actual cotton planting area of designated farmers in 13 provinces (regions) across the country: It is estimated that the national cotton planting area in 2016 will be 41.29 million mu, a year-on-year decrease of more than 10%, and a decrease of more than 30 million mu from three years ago. The reduction in area and total output is bound to fall, and the reduction in total output is bound to drive up prices. 2, the price has a larger recovery. In 2015, the average selling price of seed cotton for cotton farmers in anxiang county was about 5.8 yuan/kg, and the price of 3128B lint to the manufacturer at that time was about 13000 yuan/ton. In February 2016, the price of leather cotton dropped to 12000 yuan/ton by the end of April, and then began to rise to 15200 yuan/ton by July 20. Compared with the sale of cotton in November 2015, the seed cotton has increased by about 1.0 yuan/kg, which is good news for the majority of cotton farmers. Make 2. use of the effective growth period and strengthen the management of fertilizer and water This year, the imbalance of cotton growth in the whole county is relatively serious. According to a survey conducted by the county's economic station on July 15, some hills have several bells, and some are still in the bud stage. The main reasons for this phenomenon are factors such as rainy, few sunshine, waterlogging and so on in the early stage. Of course, some hills lack management. Cotton is a crop with a long growth period and greater plasticity. In terms of fertilizer and water cultivation, as long as it does not pass the beginning of autumn in time, no matter how bad the cotton grows, it is generally within the plastic range (that is, the effective growth period). As long as the fertilizer and water cultivation is strengthened, a better yield can still be obtained. 1, normal appearance cotton management. Since mid-July, it has been in a continuous high temperature stage. Such weather is beneficial to flowering and boll formation, but it is not good for expanding the vegetative body and increasing the number of effective buds. On the basis of the flower bolls that have been applied once, two flower bolls fertilizer should be applied at a distance of about 15 days, with 10-15kg of urea per mu, as long as there is no rain (the higher the temperature and drought, the faster it should be applied); After topping for about 15 days, 8-10kg of urea per mu will be sprinkled as topping fertilizer, and the time will be controlled before August 20. 2. Management of stunted cotton seedlings. Continuous high temperature will not only accelerate reproductive growth, for stunted cotton seedlings, more serious is unable to grow seedlings. Especially in the early stage of heavy waterlogging, seedling frame is small, the amount of fertilizer application is insufficient, easy to lead to flowering parts quickly on the top, can not be sealed. In this part of the cotton field, the first step is to remove 2-4 plates of thin and weak fruit branches with bolls at the base of the cotton plant (to get a heart) and old leaves at the base, and then spread them all over the field after mixing with 15kg of 45% compound fertilizer and 15kg of urea per mu. After 15-20 days, 10-13kg of urea per mu will be used as top cover application, and the application time shall not be later than August 25. 3, appropriate adjustment, timely topping. Whether it is normal growth or stunted cotton fields, should be based on the weather, seedling, fertilization to determine the amount and time of application of anitamide. Generally, 2.0-2.5 grams of water can be sprayed per mu at the peak of boll knot, and 3.0-4.0 grams per mu after topping. Normal growing cotton fields top in early August, and stunted cotton fields can appropriately postpone topping until around August 10. 3. focus on late pest control, After entering the boll period, the insect pests are mainly cotton bollworm, red bollworm and red spider. At present, all the varieties in the county are insect resistant. Generally, they are applied once every half month, which can control the occurrence and damage of cotton and red bollworm. However, some varieties have weak insect resistance and need to increase the number of chemical application.

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